Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.29)
1.06 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 31.8% | 40.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Renate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cittadella | 0 | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 17% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 42% | 43% | 42% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 23% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 25% | 43% | 35% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
CittadellaDWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLLWL
RenateWDWLDLLDWDLDWLWLDDWWWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cittadella | Renate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 65% | 81% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 23% | 23% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 12% | 12% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 37.4% | 62.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Cittadella
vs
Renate
Expected goals
0.81
Cittadella xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
1.87
1.06
Renate xG
League Avg: 1.02
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.4%
Draw
31.8%
Away
40.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
16.4%
Tip
0 - 0
15.5%
Tip
1 - 1
13.2%
More chances
1.5+
60%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.81 (league 1.29), Renate = 1.06 (league 1.02)
| Renate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cittadella | 0 | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 40.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1