Sassuolo vs Parma

Serie A — Italy

Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Match Finished

Sassuolo

1 - 1

Parma

Expected Goals

1.02 (league 1.28) 0.69 (league 1.14)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
42.5%	33.3%	24.1%

best score tips

1 - 0

18.5%

0 - 0

18.2%

1 - 1

12.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Parma
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sassuolo	0	18.2%	12.5%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	18.5%	12.7%	4.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	9.4%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sassuolo	Parma
Played	5	5
Form	33%	60%
Attack	60%	40%
Defense	30%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

60%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sassuolo			Parma
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	9	17	9	7	16
Wins	38%	33%	35%	22%	29%	25%
Draws	13%	33%	24%	33%	29%	31%
Loses	50%	33%	41%	44%	43%	44%

SassuoloLLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLD

ParmaLDLDWLDDLLDWLWLW

League goals

Metric	Sassuolo			Parma
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	12	22	7	4	11
GF avg	1.3	1.3	1.3	0.8	0.6	0.7
GA total	10	11	21	11	7	18
GA avg	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.2	1.0	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sassuolo		Parma
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	76%	50%	69%
1.5	41%	41%	19%	38%
2.5	18%	6%	0%	6%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sassuolo			Parma
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	3	4	2	3	5
Failed to score	3	2	5	4	4	8

Penalties

Metric	Sassuolo	Parma
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2

Streaks

Metric	Sassuolo	Parma
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-3	2-1	1-2
Biggest losses	0-2	2-0	1-3	2-0
Goals For	3	3	2	2
Goals Against	2	3	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Sassuolo	Parma
Form	36%	64%
Att	60%	40%
Def	36%	64%
Poisson Distribution	60%	40%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	64%	36%
Total	51.0%	49.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ 1xBet

Draw3.36 @ 1xBet

Away4.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.79 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle

No1.95 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Sassuolo vs Parma

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Sassuolo

Parma

Serie A • Italy • Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Expected goals

1.02

Sassuolo xG League Avg: 1.28

Total

1.71

0.69

Parma xG League Avg: 1.14

1x2 probabilities

Home

42.5%

Draw

33.3%

Away

24.1%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

18.5%

Tip

0 - 0

18.2%

Tip

1 - 1

12.7%

More chances

1.5+

61%

Chance

2.5+

43%

Chance

3.5+

30%

Chance

BTTS

60%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Sassuolo #Parma #SerieA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.02 (league 1.28), Parma = 0.69 (league 1.14)

		Parma
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sassuolo	0	18.2%	12.5%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	18.5%	12.7%	4.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	9.4%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 24.1%

vtt 17 , vtd1

Metric	Sassuolo	Parma
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2