Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:45 •
Stadio Olimpico
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.28)
1.90 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 20.9% | 65.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 2
14.0%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| AC Milan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio | 0 | 7.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 50% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 21% | 32% | 57% | 64% | 61% |
| Draws | 29% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Loses | 29% | 36% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
LazioLWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDWLDWDLDLW
AC MilanLWWWWDWDDWDWWWDWWDDWWDWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 8 | 28 | 19 | 25 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lazio | AC Milan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 57% | 93% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lazio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ 1xBet
Away2.00 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lazio
vs
AC Milan
Expected goals
0.66
Lazio xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.56
1.90
AC Milan xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
12.1%
Draw
20.9%
Away
65.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.7%
Tip
0 - 2
14.0%
Tip
1 - 1
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 0.66 (league 1.28), AC Milan = 1.90 (league 1.14)
| AC Milan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio | 0 | 7.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 65.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1