Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.24) 1.91 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 20.8% 65.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 7.5% 14.4% 13.7% 8.8% 4.2% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.7% 9.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioAC Milan
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack40%60%
Defense30%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio AC Milan
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%21%32%57%64%61%
Draws29%43%36%29%36%32%
Loses29%36%32%14%0%7%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDWLDWDLDLW • AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWWWDWWDDWWDWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Lazio AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total20828192544
GF avg1.40.61.01.41.81.6
GA total17112811920
GA avg1.20.81.00.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%57%93%54%
1.532%36%46%18%
2.514%7%18%0%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets57126713
Failed to score5914112

Penalties

MetricLazioAC Milan
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricLazioAC Milan
Wins14
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-2—
Goals For4333
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricLazioAC Milan
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 0.68 (league 1.24), AC Milan = 1.91 (league 1.13)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 7.5% 14.4% 13.7% 8.8% 4.2% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.7% 9.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 65.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1