Atalanta vs Juventus

Serie A — Italy

Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:45 • New Balance Arena

Match Finished

Atalanta

0 - 1

Juventus

Expected Goals

1.42 (league 1.24) 1.07 (league 1.12)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
44.6%	26.6%	28.3%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.6%

1 - 0

11.8%

2 - 1

8.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Juventus
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Atalanta	0	8.4%	8.9%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	11.8%	12.6%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	8.4%	8.9%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	3.9%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Atalanta	Juventus
Played	5	5
Form	53%	73%
Attack	73%	100%
Defense	55%	64%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Atalanta			Juventus
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	16	15	31	16	15	31
Wins	56%	33%	45%	56%	47%	52%
Draws	31%	40%	35%	38%	20%	29%
Loses	13%	27%	19%	6%	33%	19%

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JuventusWWWDDDLLWWDDWLWWWDWWLWWDLLDWWDW

League goals

Metric	Atalanta			Juventus
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	25	19	44	32	22	54
GF avg	1.6	1.3	1.4	2.0	1.5	1.7
GA total	13	14	27	13	16	29
GA avg	0.8	0.9	0.9	0.8	1.1	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Atalanta		Juventus
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	84%	61%	81%	61%
1.5	39%	16%	52%	23%
2.5	13%	10%	26%	10%
3.5	6%	0%	13%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	3%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Atalanta			Juventus
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	6	12	7	5	12
Failed to score	3	2	5	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Atalanta	Juventus
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	2

Streaks

Metric	Atalanta	Juventus
Wins	3	3
Draws	5	3
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	5-0	1-4
Biggest losses	0-3	3-1	0-2	2-0
Goals For	4	3	5	4
Goals Against	3	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Atalanta	Juventus
Form	42%	58%
Att	42%	58%
Def	44%	56%
Poisson Distribution	55%	45%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	71%	29%
Total	52.7%	47.3%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ 1xBet

Draw3.45 @ Unibet

Away2.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill

No2.33 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Atalanta vs Juventus

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Atalanta

Juventus

Serie A • Italy • Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:45 • New Balance Arena

Expected goals

1.42

Atalanta xG League Avg: 1.24

Total

2.48

1.07

Juventus xG League Avg: 1.12

1x2 probabilities

Home

44.6%

Draw

26.6%

Away

28.3%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

12.6%

Tip

1 - 0

11.8%

Tip

2 - 1

8.9%

More chances

1.5+

71%

Chance

2.5+

50%

Chance

3.5+

35%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 3

Exp.

#Atalanta #Juventus #SerieA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.42 (league 1.24), Juventus = 1.07 (league 1.12)

		Juventus
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Atalanta	0	8.4%	8.9%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	11.8%	12.6%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	8.4%	8.9%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	3.9%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Atalanta	Juventus
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	2