Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.24)
1.12 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 29.2% | 36.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Inter | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Como | 0 | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Como | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 82% |
| Defense | 73% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Como | Inter | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 56% | 47% | 52% | 75% | 73% | 74% |
| Draws | 31% | 33% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 10% |
| Loses | 13% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 20% | 16% |
ComoWLDWDDWDWDDWWLLWWWDLWWDLDWWWWWD
InterWLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Como | Inter | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 22 | 53 | 44 | 27 | 71 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Como | Inter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 52% | 94% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 10% | 68% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 6% | 32% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 19% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Como | Inter | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Como | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Como | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Como | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 48.2% | 52.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ BetVictor
Away2.42 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Como
vs
Inter
Expected goals
1.07
Como xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.19
1.12
Inter xG
League Avg: 1.12
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.0%
Draw
29.2%
Away
36.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.4%
Tip
0 - 1
12.5%
Tip
1 - 0
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Como = 1.07 (league 1.24), Inter = 1.12 (league 1.12)
| Inter | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Como | 0 | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 36.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1