NB I — Hungary
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:30 • Varkert Stadium
Not Started

Kisvarda FC

—

Diosgyori VTK

Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.56) 1.11 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 22.8% 22.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Diosgyori VTK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kisvarda FC 0 5.3% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.7% 10.7% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.4% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Kisvarda FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 90 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kisvarda FC -12.3, Diosgyori VTK -49.8.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Kisvarda FC Elo 1536.6 · -12.3
vs
Diosgyori VTK Elo 1481.2 · -49.8
Elo gapKisvarda FC +90
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3017.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3017.8
Elo home share 63%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Kisvarda FC Diosgyori VTK
Overall Elo1536.61481.2
Form Elo1541.61457.5
Home / Away Elo1537.91478.5
Attack Elo1472.61515.1
Defense Elo1509.11441.8
Last 5 Elo change-12.3-49.8

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kisvarda FC last-5 Elo change: -12.3; Diosgyori VTK last-5 Elo change: -49.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKisvarda FCDiosgyori VTK
Played55
Form13%0%
Attack21%21%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.417 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kisvarda FC Diosgyori VTK
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%27%37%20%13%17%
Draws27%20%23%47%20%33%
Loses27%53%40%33%67%50%
Kisvarda FCDLWWWLLWWWDLLWLLDWLDWLDWWLDLDL
Diosgyori VTKLDLDWDDDLLWLLWDWLLLDDWLDDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Kisvarda FC Diosgyori VTK
HATHAT
GF total201434181836
GF avg1.30.91.11.21.21.2
GA total182644243357
GA avg1.21.71.51.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKisvarda FCDiosgyori VTK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%77%90%
1.530%40%30%53%
2.513%20%7%30%
3.50%10%7%10%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKisvarda FCDiosgyori VTK
HATHAT
Clean sheets639303
Failed to score459437

Penalties

MetricKisvarda FCDiosgyori VTK
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricKisvarda FCDiosgyori VTK
Wins31
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-01-4
Biggest losses1-54-00-55-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against5555

Model comparison

MetricKisvarda FCDiosgyori VTK
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total53.0%47.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Kisvarda FC vs Diosgyori VTK
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Kisvarda FC
vs
Diosgyori VTK
NB I • Hungary • Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:30 • Varkert Stadium
Expected goals
1.83
Kisvarda FC xG League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.94
1.11
Diosgyori VTK xG League Avg: 1.30
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.3%
Draw
22.8%
Away
22.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
Tip
1 - 0
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
83%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
#KisvardaFc #DiosgyoriVtk #NbI #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Kisvarda FC = 1.83 (league 1.56), Diosgyori VTK = 1.11 (league 1.30)

Diosgyori VTK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kisvarda FC 0 5.3% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.7% 10.7% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.4% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 22.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1