Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:00 •
Koning Willem II Stadion
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.75)
1.47 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5% | 26.3% | 48.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| ADO Den Haag | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 8.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 71% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 36% | 44% | 71% | 77% | 74% |
| Draws | 23% | 29% | 26% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
| Loses | 23% | 36% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
Willem IILLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDW
ADO Den HaagWDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWWWWLLLDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 24 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Willem II | ADO Den Haag | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 74% | 93% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 37% | 74% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 56% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 22% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Willem II | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ SBO
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 0.96 (league 1.75), ADO Den Haag = 1.47 (league 1.41)
| ADO Den Haag | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 8.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 48.7%
