Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Den Dreef
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.46)
0.84 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 29.4% | 25.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Dender | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| OH Leuven | 0 | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 20% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 17% | 33% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| Draws | 42% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 42% | 50% | 46% | 58% | 50% | 54% |
OH LeuvenDLLLWWLLDLLDWWLLDWLDLDDW
DenderDDLLLLLLDLLDLDWDWLLDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | OH Leuven | Dender | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 58% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 46% | 17% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | OH Leuven | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): OH Leuven = 1.24 (league 1.46), Dender = 0.84 (league 1.24)
| Dender | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| OH Leuven | 0 | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 25.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
