Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 18:15 •
Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.46)
1.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 29.8% | 40.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Cercle Brugge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St. Truiden | 0 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 69% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 69% | 57% | 63% | 7% | 38% | 22% |
| Draws | 8% | 14% | 11% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Loses | 23% | 29% | 26% | 57% | 23% | 41% |
St. TruidenWDWWWDLLLWDLWWWWWLWWWWLWWWL
Cercle BruggeDLLWWDLDLDDDLLLDLLWDWDLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 74% | 74% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 33% | 33% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 4% | 11% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | St. Truiden | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.94 @ 188Bet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.53 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): St. Truiden = 0.95 (league 1.42), Cercle Brugge = 1.15 (league 1.26)
| Cercle Brugge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St. Truiden | 0 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 40.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
