Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts

League One — Scotland

Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Recreation Park

Match Finished

Alloa Athletic

2 - 1

Kelty Hearts

Expected Goals

2.01 (league 1.43) 0.68 (league 1.33)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
66.9%	19.7%	11.6%

best score tips

2 - 0

13.6%

1 - 0

13.5%

2 - 1

9.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Kelty Hearts
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Alloa Athletic	0	7.0%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	13.8%	9.5%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	13.5%	9.4%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	8.9%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	4.4%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.7%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Alloa Athletic	Kelty Hearts
Played	5	5
Form	67%	33%
Attack	100%	50%
Defense	0%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%

FT probability

2.5+

52%

FT probability

3.5+

37%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Alloa Athletic			Kelty Hearts
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	14	13	27
Wins	46%	46%	46%	0%	23%	11%
Draws	38%	15%	27%	36%	31%	33%
Loses	15%	38%	27%	64%	46%	56%

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Kelty HeartsLWLLLLWLLDLLDDLLLLWDLLDDDDD

League goals

Metric	Alloa Athletic			Kelty Hearts
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	16	37	6	17	23
GF avg	1.6	1.2	1.4	0.4	1.3	0.9
GA total	9	11	20	28	23	51
GA avg	0.7	0.8	0.8	2.0	1.8	1.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Alloa Athletic		Kelty Hearts
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	69%	58%	63%	85%
1.5	42%	15%	22%	59%
2.5	19%	4%	0%	33%
3.5	12%	0%	0%	7%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Alloa Athletic			Kelty Hearts
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	5	11	2	2	4
Failed to score	4	4	8	9	1	10

Penalties

Metric	Alloa Athletic	Kelty Hearts
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Alloa Athletic	Kelty Hearts
Wins	3	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-4	—	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	3-1	0-4	3-0
Goals For	4	4	2	2
Goals Against	2	3	5	3

Model comparison

Metric	Alloa Athletic	Kelty Hearts
Form	67%	33%
Att	77%	23%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	73%	27%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	75%	25%
Total	66.0%	34.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill

Draw3.90 @ Betfair

Away4.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill

No1.90 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Alloa Athletic

Kelty Hearts

League One • Scotland • Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Recreation Park

Expected goals

2.01

Alloa Athletic xG League Avg: 1.43

Total

2.70

0.68

Kelty Hearts xG League Avg: 1.33

1x2 probabilities

Home

66.9%

Draw

19.7%

Away

11.6%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 0

13.6%

Tip

1 - 0

13.5%

Tip

2 - 1

9.3%

More chances

1.5+

74%

Chance

2.5+

52%

Chance

3.5+

37%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 5

Exp.

#AlloaAthletic #KeltyHearts #LeagueOne #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 1.96 (league 1.47), Kelty Hearts = 0.69 (league 1.31)

		Kelty Hearts
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Alloa Athletic	0	7.0%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	13.8%	9.5%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	13.5%	9.4%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	8.9%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	4.4%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.7%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 12.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Alloa Athletic	Kelty Hearts
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2