Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.6% | 25.9% | 17.1% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Annan Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Clyde | 0 | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home edge
Clyde carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Clyde +8.1, Annan Athletic +24.0.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1507.5 | 1474.6 |
| Form Elo | 1507.8 | 1484 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1516.7 | 1449.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1557.3 | 1532.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1513.2 | 1336 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.1 | +24.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Clyde last-5 Elo change: +8.1; Annan Athletic last-5 Elo change: +24.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 62% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 47% | 29% | 38% | 41% | 18% | 29% |
| Draws | 35% | 47% | 41% | 35% | 24% | 29% |
| Loses | 18% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 59% | 41% |
League goals
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 28 | 55 | 30 | 15 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Clyde | Annan Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 68% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 26% | 38% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 9% | 24% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Clyde | Annan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Clyde = 1.52 (league 1.47), Annan Athletic = 0.70 (league 1.29)
| Annan Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Clyde | 0 | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 17.1%
