Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.66)
1.91 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7% | 22.0% | 56.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Celje | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mura | 0 | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mura | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 100% |
| Attack | 31% | 92% |
| Defense | 46% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mura | Celje | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 7% | 21% | 79% | 60% | 69% |
| Draws | 36% | 13% | 24% | 21% | 13% | 17% |
| Loses | 29% | 80% | 55% | 0% | 27% | 14% |
MuraLLDLWLDLDLDDWDWLLLLWLLLWLWDLL
CeljeWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDWDWDWLWLLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mura | Celje | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 36 | 71 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 32 | 48 | 7 | 20 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mura | Celje | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 83% | 90% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 52% | 69% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 24% | 52% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 21% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mura | Celje | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mura | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mura | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mura | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 26.3% | 73.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.60 @ Betfair
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away1.67 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Mura
vs
Celje
Expected goals
1.02
Mura xG
League Avg: 1.66
Total
2.93
1.91
Celje xG
League Avg: 1.38
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.7%
Draw
22.0%
Away
56.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.4%
Tip
0 - 1
10.2%
Tip
1 - 2
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Mura = 1.02 (league 1.66), Celje = 1.91 (league 1.38)
| Celje | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mura | 0 | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 56.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1