League Two
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Bescot Stadium
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.35)
1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.3% | 29.6% | 37.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Harrogate Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Walsall | 0 | 11.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Walsall carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 127 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Walsall -16.7, Harrogate Town +4.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Walsall
vs
Harrogate Town
Elo gapWalsall +127
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo2890.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2890.3
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1491.1 | 1399.2 |
| Form Elo | 1486.5 | 1402.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1453.5 | 1459.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1481.1 | 1369 |
| Defense Elo | 1514.2 | 1460.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.7 | +4.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Walsall last-5 Elo change: -16.7; Harrogate Town last-5 Elo change: +4.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 29% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| Wins | 36% | 45% | 41% | 18% | 23% | 20% |
| Draws | 23% | 27% | 25% | 14% | 27% | 20% |
| Loses | 41% | 27% | 34% | 68% | 50% | 59% |
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Harrogate TownWDDWLLLLWWLLLLLDLDLDLLLLDLLLLLWDWDDLLWLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 32 | 55 | 15 | 21 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 28 | 23 | 51 | 36 | 30 | 66 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Walsall | Harrogate Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 75% | 59% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 34% | 16% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 5% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Walsall | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ Dafabet
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Betano
No2.00 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Walsall
vs
Harrogate Town
Expected goals
1.03
Walsall xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.14
1.11
Harrogate Town xG
League Avg: 1.17
1x2 probabilities
Home
33.3%
Draw
29.6%
Away
37.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.5%
Tip
0 - 1
13.0%
Tip
1 - 0
12.1%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Walsall = 1.03 (league 1.35), Harrogate Town = 1.11 (league 1.17)
| Harrogate Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Walsall | 0 | 11.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 37.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1