Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:30 •
The Hawthorns
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.36)
1.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.2% | 23.2% | 49.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ipswich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| West Brom | 0 | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Ipswich carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 113 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: West Brom +39.5, Ipswich -6.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
West Brom
vs
Ipswich
Elo gapIpswich +113
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3072.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3072.1
Elo home share
34%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1461.9 | 1610.2 |
| Form Elo | 1480.8 | 1616 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.1 | 1559 |
| Attack Elo | 1442.3 | 1620.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1485.4 | 1564.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +39.5 | -6.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. West Brom last-5 Elo change: +39.5; Ipswich last-5 Elo change: -6.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 44% |
| Defense | 88% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 20 | 42 |
| Wins | 33% | 23% | 28% | 59% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 43% | 18% | 30% | 36% | 25% | 31% |
| Loses | 24% | 59% | 42% | 5% | 35% | 19% |
West BromWWDWLLDWLWLLDLWLDWLLWLLWLLLLDLDDLDLDDWWDDDW
IpswichDDLDWWDWLLWWDWDWLDWWLWDWWWWLDWLWWWDDWDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 19 | 44 | 40 | 33 | 73 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 25 | 31 | 56 | 17 | 27 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | West Brom | Ipswich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 72% | 88% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 37% | 52% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 16% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 2% | 7% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.30 @ Dafabet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.23 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.74 @ Unibet
No1.98 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
West Brom
vs
Ipswich
Expected goals
1.23
West Brom xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
3.02
1.79
Ipswich xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.2%
Draw
23.2%
Away
49.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
1 - 2
9.6%
Tip
0 - 1
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): West Brom = 1.23 (league 1.37), Ipswich = 1.79 (league 1.14)
| Ipswich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| West Brom | 0 | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 49.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1