Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.62)
1.14 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.3% | 20.7% | 19.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Stade Brestois 29 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lille | 0 | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 5% | 35% |
| Defense | 50% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 60% | 36% | 48% | 45% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 10% | 18% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 30% | 45% | 38% | 27% | 60% | 43% |
LilleDWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLLD
Stade Brestois 29DLLLWWDDLLDLWWWLWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 18 | 30 | 13 | 20 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 71% | 67% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 43% | 43% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 24% | 19% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-7 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lille | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 40.3% | 60.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.32 @ 1xBet
Away6.37 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lille
vs
Stade Brestois 29
Expected goals
2.09
Lille xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
3.23
1.14
Stade Brestois 29 xG
League Avg: 1.27
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.3%
Draw
20.7%
Away
19.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.9%
Tip
1 - 1
9.4%
Tip
2 - 0
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lille = 2.09 (league 1.62), Stade Brestois 29 = 1.14 (league 1.27)
| Stade Brestois 29 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lille | 0 | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 19.8%
vtt 8 , vtd1