Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:00 • Merkur-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.43) 0.90 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 34.3% 36.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
SCR Altach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 18.9% 16.9% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSturm GrazSCR Altach
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack33%27%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sturm Graz SCR Altach
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%64%52%45%20%33%
Draws10%9%10%45%30%38%
Loses50%27%38%9%50%29%

Form: Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDLWLWLWLWD • SCR Altach: WWDDLWDLLDDLLWDWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Sturm Graz SCR Altach
HATHAT
GF total10213114822
GF avg1.01.91.51.30.81.0
GA total141226101121
GA avg1.41.11.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSturm GrazSCR Altach
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%62%67%67%
1.538%38%29%24%
2.514%24%10%10%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSturm GrazSCR Altach
HATHAT
Clean sheets358347
Failed to score112167

Penalties

MetricSturm GrazSCR Altach
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricSturm GrazSCR Altach
Wins42
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-23-0
Goals For2433
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricSturm GrazSCR Altach
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz = 0.77 (league 1.43), SCR Altach = 0.90 (league 1.25)

SCR Altach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 18.9% 16.9% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 36.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1