FAW Championship — Wales
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:30 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Match Finished

Caerau (Ely)

1 - 2

Trefelin

Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.73) 1.59 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.7% 23.8% 66.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Trefelin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 13.7% 21.9% 17.4% 9.3% 3.7% 1.2%
1 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
2 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack26%63%
Defense68%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caerau (Ely) Trefelin
HATHAT
Played99189716
Wins67%44%56%67%86%75%
Draws22%22%22%22%14%19%
Loses11%33%22%11%0%6%
Caerau (Ely)WDWWWLDWWWWLLDWLWD
TrefelinWLWWDDWWDWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Caerau (Ely) Trefelin
HATHAT
GF total151833191736
GF avg1.72.01.82.12.42.3
GA total91221639
GA avg1.01.31.20.70.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%61%88%38%
1.556%28%81%13%
2.517%28%38%6%
3.517%0%13%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376410
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Wins42
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-00-5
Biggest losses2-33-00-2—
Goals For4545
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Form35%65%
Att29%71%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total30.0%70.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Dafabet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.40 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Caerau (Ely)
vs
Trefelin
FAW Championship • Wales • Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:30 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Expected goals
0.39
Caerau (Ely) xG League Avg: 1.73
Total
1.99
1.59
Trefelin xG League Avg: 1.51
1x2 probabilities
Home
8.7%
Draw
23.8%
Away
66.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
21.9%
Tip
0 - 2
17.4%
Tip
0 - 0
13.7%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
#CaerauEly #Trefelin #FawChampionship #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 0.39 (league 1.73), Trefelin = 1.59 (league 1.51)

Trefelin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 13.7% 21.9% 17.4% 9.3% 3.7% 1.2%
1 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
2 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 66.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1