II Liga - East
— Poland
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:00 •
Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.54)
1.03 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
9.4%
1 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Podbeskidzie | 0 | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Podbeskidzie carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 201 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Podbeskidzie +26.7, Zaglebie Sosnowiec -40.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Podbeskidzie
vs
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Elo gapPodbeskidzie +201
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo3011.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3011.8
Elo home share
76%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1588.7 | 1423.1 |
| Form Elo | 1603.9 | 1379.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.7 | 1483 |
| Attack Elo | 1633.2 | 1499.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1550.3 | 1340.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +26.7 | -40.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Podbeskidzie last-5 Elo change: +26.7; Zaglebie Sosnowiec last-5 Elo change: -40.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 67% | 28% |
| Defense | 67% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 40% | 43% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
| Draws | 31% | 13% | 21% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
| Loses | 23% | 47% | 36% | 57% | 46% | 52% |
PodbeskidzieLLDWWDWLWLLWLDLWLDWWDWLDWWLW
Zaglebie SosnowiecWLLDDDLWWWWLWDLDLLLLWLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 25 | 51 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 24 | 41 | 29 | 24 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 68% | 70% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 43% | 30% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 7% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | 1-5 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Podbeskidzie | Zaglebie Sosnowiec |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Podbeskidzie
vs
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Expected goals
2.35
Podbeskidzie xG
League Avg: 1.54
Total
3.37
1.03
Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
League Avg: 1.39
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.4%
Draw
18.2%
Away
15.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.7%
Tip
2 - 0
9.4%
Tip
1 - 1
8.3%
More chances
1.5+
90%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Podbeskidzie = 2.35 (league 1.54), Zaglebie Sosnowiec = 1.03 (league 1.39)
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Podbeskidzie | 0 | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 15.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1