Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Red Bull Arena
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.81)
1.16 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.6% | 28.3% | 35.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nürnberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig W | 0 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 50% | 21% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 13% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 38% | 24% |
| Loses | 63% | 56% | 59% | 67% | 38% | 53% |
RB Leipzig WWLLLDWLWWLLLLLLDW
NürnbergDLLDDWWLLWLWLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 14 | 21 | 35 | 28 | 15 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 65% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 59% | 24% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 41% | 18% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 12% | 6% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-4 | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away4.97 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.51 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.16 (league 1.81), Nürnberg = 1.16 (league 1.55)
| Nürnberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RB Leipzig W | 0 | 9.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 35.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
