AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury

National League - South — England

Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Hornchurch Stadium

Match Finished

AFC Hornchurch

1 - 0

Salisbury

Expected Goals

1.50 (league 1.56) 0.53 (league 1.24)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
60.6%	25.9%	13.1%

best score tips

1 - 0

19.6%

2 - 0

14.7%

0 - 0

13.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Salisbury
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AFC Hornchurch	0	13.1%	7.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	19.6%	10.5%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	14.7%	7.9%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	7.3%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.8%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	AFC Hornchurch	Salisbury
Played	5	5
Form	40%	27%
Attack	50%	42%
Defense	25%	42%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	AFC Hornchurch			Salisbury
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	16	17	33	18	17	35
Wins	56%	47%	52%	39%	18%	29%
Draws	31%	18%	24%	22%	29%	26%
Loses	13%	35%	24%	39%	53%	46%

AFC HornchurchWWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLWWLDWLLLW

SalisburyDDLLDDLLDLWWLLDWWWLLWLLWLWWDLDLWDLL

League goals

Metric	AFC Hornchurch			Salisbury
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	29	27	56	23	10	33
GF avg	1.8	1.6	1.7	1.3	0.6	0.9
GA total	18	28	46	27	22	49
GA avg	1.1	1.6	1.4	1.5	1.3	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	AFC Hornchurch		Salisbury
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	82%	79%	54%	74%
1.5	52%	42%	23%	40%
2.5	27%	9%	11%	14%
3.5	6%	6%	3%	6%
4.5	3%	3%	3%	3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	AFC Hornchurch			Salisbury
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	3	7	5	4	9
Failed to score	1	5	6	6	10	16

Penalties

Metric	AFC Hornchurch	Salisbury
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	1

Streaks

Metric	AFC Hornchurch	Salisbury
Wins	4	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-4	3-0	1-2
Biggest losses	1-2	5-0	0-6	3-0
Goals For	3	5	5	2
Goals Against	2	5	6	3

Model comparison

Metric	AFC Hornchurch	Salisbury
Form	60%	40%
Att	55%	45%
Def	44%	56%
Poisson Distribution	74%	26%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	55.5%	44.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano

Draw4.10 @ Unibet

Away5.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet

No2.20 @ Bet365

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

AFC Hornchurch

Salisbury

National League - South • England • Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Hornchurch Stadium

Expected goals

1.50

AFC Hornchurch xG League Avg: 1.56

Total

2.03

0.53

Salisbury xG League Avg: 1.24

1x2 probabilities

Home

60.6%

Draw

25.9%

Away

13.1%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

19.6%

Tip

2 - 0

14.7%

Tip

0 - 0

13.1%

More chances

1.5+

73%

Chance

2.5+

51%

Chance

3.5+

36%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

0 - 0

Exp.

#AfcHornchurch #Salisbury #NationalLeagueSouth #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): AFC Hornchurch = 1.50 (league 1.56), Salisbury = 0.53 (league 1.24)

		Salisbury
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AFC Hornchurch	0	13.1%	7.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	19.6%	10.5%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	14.7%	7.9%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	7.3%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.8%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 13.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1

Metric	AFC Hornchurch	Salisbury
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	1