Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 •
Crabble Athletic Ground
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.59)
2.17 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.2% | 20.6% | 50.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dover | 0 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 47% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 16 | 33 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 24% | 38% | 30% | 53% | 50% | 52% |
| Draws | 35% | 19% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 26% |
| Loses | 41% | 44% | 42% | 13% | 31% | 23% |
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AFC HornchurchWWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLWWLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 16 | 44 | 27 | 26 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 29 | 22 | 51 | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dover | AFC Hornchurch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 81% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 45% | 52% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 21% | 29% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dover | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 39.7% | 60.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Dover
vs
AFC Hornchurch
Expected goals
1.51
Dover xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
3.69
2.17
AFC Hornchurch xG
League Avg: 1.25
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.2%
Draw
20.6%
Away
50.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.0%
Tip
1 - 1
8.2%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Dover = 1.51 (league 1.59), AFC Hornchurch = 2.17 (league 1.25)
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dover | 0 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 50.4%
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