Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 17:00 •
NGN-Arena
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.55)
1.19 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7% | 29.5% | 41.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Eichstätt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aubstadt | 0 | 12.1% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Aubstadt +3.7, Eichstätt -33.1.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Aubstadt
vs
Eichstätt
Elo gapAubstadt +4
Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3077.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3077.2
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1523 | 1554.2 |
| Form Elo | 1521.1 | 1530.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1483.4 | 1520.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1482.2 | 1582.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1541.5 | 1580.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.7 | -33.1 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Aubstadt last-5 Elo change: +3.7; Eichstätt last-5 Elo change: -33.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 41% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 40% | 38% | 36% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 29% | 33% | 31% | 50% | 20% | 34% |
| Loses | 36% | 27% | 31% | 14% | 40% | 28% |
AubstadtLWDDWWWWLLWDDLWDWDDLLLWDWLLWD
EichstättLWWLWWDWDWLDDDWLWWDLWWLDDDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 24 | 40 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aubstadt | Eichstätt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 79% | 83% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 34% | 48% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 14% | 17% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 7% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aubstadt | Eichstätt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Aubstadt
vs
Eichstätt
Expected goals
0.93
Aubstadt xG
League Avg: 1.55
Total
2.12
1.19
Eichstätt xG
League Avg: 1.39
1x2 probabilities
Home
28.7%
Draw
29.5%
Away
41.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.3%
Tip
1 - 1
13.3%
Tip
0 - 0
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Aubstadt = 0.93 (league 1.54), Eichstätt = 1.18 (league 1.40)
| Eichstätt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aubstadt | 0 | 12.1% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 41.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1