Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.96)
2.84 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2% | 16.7% | 56.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
1 - 3
7.2%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Rotenhof | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hohenwestedt | 0 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Hohenwestedt carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 54 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hohenwestedt -23.9, Rotenhof -20.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Hohenwestedt
vs
Rotenhof
Elo gapHohenwestedt +54
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2873.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2873.4
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1446.1 | 1427.3 |
| Form Elo | 1422.4 | 1420.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1436.7 | 1487 |
| Attack Elo | 1520.2 | 1525.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1327.5 | 1257.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.9 | -20.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Hohenwestedt last-5 Elo change: -23.9; Rotenhof last-5 Elo change: -20.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 21% | 29% |
| Defense | 14% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| Wins | 15% | 33% | 24% | 18% | 29% | 24% |
| Draws | 23% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 36% | 24% |
| Loses | 62% | 58% | 60% | 73% | 36% | 52% |
HohenwestedtWLLLDDLWLLLWLWDLLWLLWLLLD
RotenhofLWDDLDWLLLLLDWDLWLWLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 22 | 37 | 12 | 29 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 30 | 27 | 57 | 27 | 37 | 64 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 88% | 80% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 60% | 52% | 72% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 48% | 20% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 28% | 12% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 9-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hohenwestedt | Rotenhof |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Hohenwestedt
vs
Rotenhof
Expected goals
1.60
Hohenwestedt xG
League Avg: 1.96
Total
4.44
2.84
Rotenhof xG
League Avg: 1.70
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.2%
Draw
16.7%
Away
56.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
7.6%
Tip
1 - 3
7.2%
Tip
2 - 2
6.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
81%
Chance
3.5+
58%
Chance
BTTS
85%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Hohenwestedt = 1.60 (league 1.96), Rotenhof = 2.84 (league 1.70)
| Rotenhof | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hohenwestedt | 0 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 56.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1