Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.45)
1.11 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.3% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Monção | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tirsense | 0 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 53% |
| Defense | 100% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 25% | 35% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Draws | 36% | 58% | 48% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 17% | 17% | 58% | 64% | 61% |
TirsenseDDWLDDLDDWDWWLLWDDDWDWW
MonçãoLLLDLDLWLLDDLLLWDLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 26 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tirsense | Monção | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 57% | 70% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 22% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 4% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tirsense | Monção |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 68.4% | 31.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.35 @ Dafabet
Draw5.00 @ Dafabet
Away11.25 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.24 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tirsense = 2.48 (league 1.45), Monção = 1.11 (league 1.08)
| Monção | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tirsense | 0 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 15.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
