Oberliga - Bremen — Germany
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 11:15 • SPA Sebaldsbrück Platz 1
Not Started

Sebaldsbrück

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OSC Bremerhaven

Expected Goals
1.38 (league 2.34) 3.47 (league 1.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.8% 12.3% 62.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 4
6.5%
1 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
OSC Bremerhaven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sebaldsbrück 0 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.7% 3.3%
1 1.1% 3.8% 6.5% 7.5% 6.5% 4.5%
2 0.7% 2.6% 4.5% 5.2% 4.5% 3.1%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

OSC Bremerhaven carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 119 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sebaldsbrück -22.1, OSC Bremerhaven -3.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Sebaldsbrück Elo 1412.7 · -22.1
vs
OSC Bremerhaven Elo 1566.5 · -3.7
Elo gapOSC Bremerhaven +119
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo2979.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2979.2
Elo home share 34%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Sebaldsbrück OSC Bremerhaven
Overall Elo1412.71566.5
Form Elo1388.21574.4
Home / Away Elo14811512.8
Attack Elo1456.11690.6
Defense Elo1271.71498
Last 5 Elo change-22.1-3.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sebaldsbrück last-5 Elo change: -22.1; OSC Bremerhaven last-5 Elo change: -3.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSebaldsbrückOSC Bremerhaven
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack21%79%
Defense21%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 119 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sebaldsbrück OSC Bremerhaven
HATHAT
Played131124131225
Wins31%0%17%69%50%60%
Draws15%18%17%15%17%16%
Loses54%82%67%15%33%24%
SebaldsbrückLLLLLWDWDDDLWLLLLLLLLWLL
OSC BremerhavenWWWWWLWDDWLWDLWWWLWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Sebaldsbrück OSC Bremerhaven
HATHAT
GF total251035442771
GF avg1.90.91.53.42.32.8
GA total364177182038
GA avg2.83.73.21.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSebaldsbrückOSC Bremerhaven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%96%92%72%
1.533%79%72%48%
2.517%58%48%24%
3.58%38%28%8%
4.54%21%24%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSebaldsbrückOSC Bremerhaven
HATHAT
Clean sheets101617
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricSebaldsbrückOSC Bremerhaven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSebaldsbrückOSC Bremerhaven
Wins15
Draws32
Losses81

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-1—6-02-7
Biggest losses0-77-12-34-1
Goals For7277
Goals Against7744

Model comparison

MetricSebaldsbrückOSC Bremerhaven
Form23%77%
Att21%79%
Def34%66%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total26.5%73.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Sebaldsbrück vs OSC Bremerhaven
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Sebaldsbrück
vs
OSC Bremerhaven
Oberliga - Bremen • Germany • Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 11:15 • SPA Sebaldsbrück Platz 1
Expected goals
1.38
Sebaldsbrück xG League Avg: 2.34
Total
4.85
3.47
OSC Bremerhaven xG League Avg: 1.86
1x2 probabilities
Home
10.8%
Draw
12.3%
Away
62.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 3
7.5%
Tip
1 - 4
6.5%
Tip
1 - 2
6.5%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
63%
Chance
BTTS
86%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Sebaldsbrück #OscBremerhaven #OberligaBremen #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Sebaldsbrück = 1.38 (league 2.34), OSC Bremerhaven = 3.47 (league 1.86)

OSC Bremerhaven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sebaldsbrück 0 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.7% 3.3%
1 1.1% 3.8% 6.5% 7.5% 6.5% 4.5%
2 0.7% 2.6% 4.5% 5.2% 4.5% 3.1%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.8% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 62.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1