1. Division — Cyprus
Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 17:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.51) 2.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 16.7% 66.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Omonia Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 3.2% 7.9% 9.9% 8.2% 5.1% 2.5%
1 3.0% 7.6% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.5% 3.6% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Nicosia
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%57%62%71%67%69%
Draws17%29%23%29%0%15%
Loses17%14%15%0%33%15%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDW • Omonia Nicosia: LWWWWDWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Nicosia
HATHAT
GF total111425161329
GF avg1.82.01.92.32.22.2
GA total8513459
GA avg1.30.71.00.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%69%85%46%
1.562%15%69%23%
2.523%8%38%0%
3.515%8%15%0%
4.50%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-45-00-5
Biggest losses2-41-0—2-0
Goals For3455
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Omonia Nicosia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 0.96 (league 1.51), Omonia Nicosia = 2.49 (league 1.15)

Omonia Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 3.2% 7.9% 9.9% 8.2% 5.1% 2.5%
1 3.0% 7.6% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.5% 3.6% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 66.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1