Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 •
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.65)
1.47 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 18.2% | 20.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
7.3%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Durham W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham City W | 0 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 80% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 60% | 60% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
Birmingham City WWDWWLWLWWL
Durham WWLLDLWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Birmingham City W | Durham W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Birmingham City W | Durham W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.25 @ Unibet
Draw6.18 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Birmingham City W
vs
Durham W
Expected goals
2.54
Birmingham City W xG
League Avg: 1.65
Total
4.01
1.47
Durham W xG
League Avg: 1.31
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.3%
Draw
18.2%
Away
20.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.6%
Tip
3 - 1
7.3%
Tip
1 - 1
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
84%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City W = 2.54 (league 1.65), Durham W = 1.47 (league 1.31)
| Durham W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham City W | 0 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 20.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1