Campionato
— San-Marino
Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 20:15 •
Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva
Expected Goals
4.04 (league 1.36)
0.44 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
best score tips
4 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
12.4%
5 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Libertas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus | 0 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 69% | 62% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 80% | 67% | 74% | 33% | 20% | 26% |
| Draws | 20% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 40% | 32% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 5% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
VirtusDWWWWWWWWDLWWWDWWDW
LibertasDLLWDDLLDDLWLLLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 17 | 41 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus | Libertas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 42% | 74% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 5% | 26% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 0% | 5% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.13 @ 10Bet
Draw7.85 @ Pinnacle
Away22.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.80 @ Superbet
No1.40 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Virtus
vs
Libertas
Expected goals
4.04
Virtus xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
4.48
0.44
Libertas xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.3%
Draw
4.2%
Away
1.3%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 0
12.6%
Tip
3 - 0
12.4%
Tip
5 - 0
10.2%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Virtus = 4.04 (league 1.36), Libertas = 0.44 (league 1.36)
| Libertas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus | 0 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 1.3%