Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:30 •
Informstadion
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.37)
0.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.0% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.5%
3 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Retz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oberwart | 0 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Oberwart carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 141 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Oberwart +2.2, Retz +13.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Oberwart
vs
Retz
Elo gapOberwart +141
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo3014.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3014.4
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1560.4 | 1454 |
| Form Elo | 1560.3 | 1454.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1535.1 | 1473.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1701.6 | 1455.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1629 | 1480.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.2 | +13.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Oberwart last-5 Elo change: +2.2; Retz last-5 Elo change: +13.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 100% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 31% | 40% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 28% | 54% | 33% | 44% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 32% | 46% | 58% | 52% |
OberwartDWWWWLLLWWWLWLWDLLLWDDDDD
RetzDLLLLLDWDLLLLLDDLLDDDDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 17 | 39 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 19 | 26 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Oberwart | Retz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 60% | 36% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 28% | 16% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 16% | 8% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-5 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Oberwart | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 0% | 0% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 74.5% | 25.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Oberwart
vs
Retz
Expected goals
2.88
Oberwart xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
3.51
0.62
Retz xG
League Avg: 1.12
1x2 probabilities
Home
76.0%
Draw
11.4%
Away
5.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
12.5%
Tip
3 - 0
12.0%
Tip
1 - 0
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Oberwart = 2.87 (league 1.38), Retz = 0.61 (league 1.15)
| Retz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oberwart | 0 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.3% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 5.3%
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