Palermo vs Padova

Serie B — Italy

Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Renzo Barbera

Match Finished

Palermo

1 - 0

Padova

Expected Goals

1.09 (league 1.49) 0.50 (league 1.08)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
50.0%	33.1%	16.8%

best score tips

1 - 0

22.3%

0 - 0

20.4%

2 - 0

12.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Padova
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Palermo	0	20.4%	10.2%	2.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	22.3%	11.1%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.1%	6.0%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	4.4%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Palermo	Padova
Played	5	5
Form	73%	53%
Attack	92%	38%
Defense	69%	62%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	12 \| 2.4	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%

FT probability

2.5+

44%

FT probability

3.5+

31%

FT probability

BTTS

60%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Palermo			Padova
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	8	17	8	9	17
Wins	56%	38%	47%	13%	44%	29%
Draws	33%	38%	35%	63%	22%	41%
Loses	11%	25%	18%	25%	33%	29%

PalermoWDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWD

PadovaLDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWD

League goals

Metric	Palermo			Padova
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	16	11	27	9	8	17
GF avg	1.8	1.4	1.6	1.1	0.9	1.0
GA total	5	8	13	11	8	19
GA avg	0.6	1.0	0.8	1.4	0.9	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Palermo		Padova
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	59%	76%	76%
1.5	47%	12%	24%	29%
2.5	18%	6%	0%	6%
3.5	12%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	12%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Palermo			Padova
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	1	7	0	4	4
Failed to score	3	2	5	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Palermo	Padova
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	3

Streaks

Metric	Palermo	Padova
Wins	3	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	1-3	2-1	1-2
Biggest losses	0-3	1-0	0-2	3-1
Goals For	5	3	2	2
Goals Against	3	2	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Palermo	Padova
Form	58%	42%
Att	71%	29%
Def	56%	44%
Poisson Distribution	70%	30%
H2h	91%	9%
Goals	75%	25%
Total	70.2%	29.8%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Bet365

Draw4.15 @ 188Bet

Away6.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet

No1.81 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Palermo vs Padova

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Palermo

Padova

Serie B • Italy • Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Renzo Barbera

Expected goals

1.09

Palermo xG League Avg: 1.49

Total

1.59

0.50

Padova xG League Avg: 1.08

1x2 probabilities

Home

50.0%

Draw

33.1%

Away

16.8%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

22.3%

Tip

0 - 0

20.4%

Tip

2 - 0

12.1%

More chances

1.5+

62%

Chance

2.5+

44%

Chance

3.5+

31%

Chance

BTTS

60%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Palermo #Padova #SerieB #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 1.09 (league 1.49), Padova = 0.50 (league 1.08)

		Padova
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Palermo	0	20.4%	10.2%	2.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	22.3%	11.1%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.1%	6.0%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	4.4%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 16.8%

vtt 23 , vtd1

Metric	Palermo	Padova
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	3