Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 12:00 •
Stade Charlety
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.59)
2.45 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 15.3% | 72.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.2%
0 - 1
10.7%
0 - 3
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 4.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 70% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 83% | 33% | 58% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Paris FC WWWWLWLWWWDDL
Lyon WWWWWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris FC W | Lyon W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 100% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 17% | 83% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 75% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris FC W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 24.2% | 75.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home10.50 @ Betfair
Draw5.50 @ Betfair
Away1.27 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Paris FC W
vs
Lyon W
Expected goals
0.68
Paris FC W xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
3.13
2.45
Lyon W xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
8.3%
Draw
15.3%
Away
72.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
13.2%
Tip
0 - 1
10.7%
Tip
0 - 3
10.7%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
80%
Chance
3.5+
57%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Paris FC W = 0.68 (league 1.59), Lyon W = 2.45 (league 1.43)
| Lyon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 4.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 72.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1