Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Športový park Pltníky
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 2.12)
1.51 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 18.5% | 21.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
7.2%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Dolný Kubín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fomat Martin | 0 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Fomat Martin carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 59 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Fomat Martin +15.1, Dolný Kubín -22.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Fomat Martin
vs
Dolný Kubín
Elo gapFomat Martin +59
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2901.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2901.9
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1463.1 | 1438.8 |
| Form Elo | 1479.3 | 1434.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.1 | 1471.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1546.4 | 1546.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1451.9 | 1315.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.1 | -22.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Fomat Martin last-5 Elo change: +15.1; Dolný Kubín last-5 Elo change: -22.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 39% | 61% |
| Defense | 61% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 30% | 40% | 35% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 30% | 40% | 35% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Fomat MartinWDWLLLLDLLWDWDDWWLDD
Dolný KubínLLLLDLLDWLWWLLLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 75% | 85% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 30% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 10% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 2-6 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fomat Martin | Dolný Kubín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fomat Martin
vs
Dolný Kubín
Expected goals
2.51
Fomat Martin xG
League Avg: 2.12
Total
4.01
1.51
Dolný Kubín xG
League Avg: 1.47
1x2 probabilities
Home
55.2%
Draw
18.5%
Away
21.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.6%
Tip
3 - 1
7.2%
Tip
1 - 1
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
77%
Chance
3.5+
55%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fomat Martin = 2.51 (league 2.12), Dolný Kubín = 1.51 (league 1.47)
| Dolný Kubín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fomat Martin | 0 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 21.6%
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