Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 • Estádio Da Tapadinha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.23) 1.49 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 23.4% 33.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético CP 0 4.1% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3%
1 7.0% 10.4% 7.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.4% 5.0% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético CPMafra
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack80%100%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético CP Mafra
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%67%25%47%
Draws13%33%24%33%50%41%
Loses50%33%41%0%25%12%
Atlético CPLLWWLLWDLDLWWWLDD
MafraDLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDD

League goals

Metric Atlético CP Mafra
HATHAT
GF total10515151126
GF avg1.30.60.91.71.41.5
GA total961551318
GA avg1.10.70.90.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético CPMafra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%53%88%65%
1.512%24%41%24%
2.56%6%18%12%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético CPMafra
HATHAT
Clean sheets448516
Failed to score246112

Penalties

MetricAtlético CPMafra
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAtlético CPMafra
Wins34
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-21-2
Biggest losses1-42-04-1
Goals For4143
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricAtlético CPMafra
Form42%58%
Att31%69%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total42.0%58.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Superbet
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Atlético CP
vs
Mafra
Liga 3 • Portugal • Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 • Estádio Da Tapadinha
Expected goals
1.70
Atlético CP xG League Avg: 1.23
Total
3.19
1.49
Mafra xG League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.9%
Draw
23.4%
Away
33.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.4%
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
Tip
1 - 2
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
#AtléticoCp #Mafra #Liga3 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Atlético CP = 1.70 (league 1.23), Mafra = 1.49 (league 1.03)

Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético CP 0 4.1% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3%
1 7.0% 10.4% 7.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.4% 5.0% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 33.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1