Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 17:30 •
Free State Toyota Stadium
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.16)
0.36 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.1% | 57.2% | 23.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
51.4%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siwelele | 0 | 51.1% | 18.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 43% | 14% | 29% | 83% | 33% | 58% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 29% | 71% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
SiweleleWLLLDLLLWDWWLD
Mamelodi SundownsDWWDWWDWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 29% | 57% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 42% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.30 @ 10Bet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away1.55 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.87 @ 188Bet
No1.50 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Siwelele = 0.30 (league 1.15), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.37 (league 0.87)
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siwelele | 0 | 51.1% | 18.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 57.0% · Away win 23.9%
vtt 6 , vtd1
