Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| St. Gallen II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wettswil-Bonstetten | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Home strong edge
Wettswil-Bonstetten carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 206 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wettswil-Bonstetten +26.6, St. Gallen II -21.3.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1634.7 | 1463.6 |
| Form Elo | 1667.5 | 1455.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.1 | 1494.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1715.7 | 1522.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1608.7 | 1392.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +26.6 | -21.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Wettswil-Bonstetten last-5 Elo change: +26.6; St. Gallen II last-5 Elo change: -21.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 76% | 35% |
| Defense | 76% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 67% | 63% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 25% | 21% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
League goals
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 27 | 59 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 32 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 67% | 83% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 33% | 50% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 4% | 13% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 4% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wettswil-Bonstetten | St. Gallen II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 67.2% | 32.8% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Wettswil-Bonstetten = 4.10 (league 1.78), St. Gallen II = 1.26 (league 1.55)
| St. Gallen II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wettswil-Bonstetten | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 6.3%
