Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportanlage Chrummen
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.78)
2.17 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5% | 20.6% | 49.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Taverne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Freienbach | 0 | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Freienbach +1.7, Taverne +13.5.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Freienbach
vs
Taverne
Elo gapTaverne +11
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3068.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3068.9
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1511.5 | 1557.4 |
| Form Elo | 1511.6 | 1573.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.2 | 1522.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1574.2 | 1583.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1436 | 1537.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.7 | +13.5 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Freienbach last-5 Elo change: +1.7; Taverne last-5 Elo change: +13.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 35% | 82% |
| Defense | 24% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 62% | 55% | 58% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 42% | 33% | 23% | 27% | 25% |
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TaverneWWLWLLWWDWDWWWWLLWLDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 19 | 43 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Freienbach | Taverne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 79% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 46% | 58% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 21% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 13% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Freienbach | Taverne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 28% | 72% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Freienbach
vs
Taverne
Expected goals
1.58
Freienbach xG
League Avg: 1.78
Total
3.74
2.17
Taverne xG
League Avg: 1.55
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.5%
Draw
20.6%
Away
49.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
8.8%
Tip
1 - 1
8.1%
Tip
2 - 2
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
69%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Freienbach = 1.58 (league 1.78), Taverne = 2.17 (league 1.55)
| Taverne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Freienbach | 0 | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 49.0%
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