Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportplatz Bühl
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.78)
2.68 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | 15.3% | 67.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Winterthur II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SV Schaffhausen | 0 | 2.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Winterthur II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 122 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SV Schaffhausen +2.0, Winterthur II +13.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
SV Schaffhausen
vs
Winterthur II
Elo gapWinterthur II +122
Home / draw / away27% / 18% / 55%
Expected home share33%
Combined Elo2824.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2824.4
Elo home share
33%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1333.8 | 1490.6 |
| Form Elo | 1318.9 | 1488.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1413 | 1478 |
| Attack Elo | 1372 | 1649.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1079.5 | 1380.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.0 | +13.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. SV Schaffhausen last-5 Elo change: +2.0; Winterthur II last-5 Elo change: +13.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 65% |
| Defense | 29% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 8% | 17% | 13% | 42% | 17% | 29% |
| Draws | 8% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 83% | 58% | 71% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
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Winterthur IILDWWLWDLLWDDLWDDLLWWDLLD
League goals
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 34 | 15 | 49 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 38 | 31 | 69 | 24 | 26 | 50 |
| GA avg | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 79% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 71% | 58% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 38% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 13% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 8% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 7-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
SV Schaffhausen
vs
Winterthur II
Expected goals
0.99
SV Schaffhausen xG
League Avg: 1.78
Total
3.67
2.68
Winterthur II xG
League Avg: 1.55
1x2 probabilities
Home
11.4%
Draw
15.3%
Away
67.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
9.1%
Tip
1 - 2
9.1%
Tip
0 - 3
8.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
77%
Chance
3.5+
55%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): SV Schaffhausen = 0.99 (league 1.78), Winterthur II = 2.68 (league 1.55)
| Winterthur II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SV Schaffhausen | 0 | 2.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 67.7%
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