Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.31) 0.77 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 38.4% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 25.0% 19.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla AtleticoVillarreal II
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack24%41%
Defense59%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Atletico Villarreal II
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%0%22%44%22%33%
Draws22%44%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%56%44%22%44%33%

Form: Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDLWDDDLWLLWL • Villarreal II: WLDDLLWLDWWLDWLDDW

League goals

Metric Sevilla Atletico Villarreal II
HATHAT
GF total931216824
GF avg1.00.30.71.80.91.3
GA total7101711718
GA avg0.81.10.91.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla AtleticoVillarreal II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%72%72%61%
1.511%17%33%28%
2.50%6%22%11%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla AtleticoVillarreal II
HATHAT
Clean sheets415347
Failed to score268145

Penalties

MetricSevilla AtleticoVillarreal II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSevilla AtleticoVillarreal II
Wins12
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-32-1
Goals For2143
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSevilla AtleticoVillarreal II
Form43%57%
Att36%64%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Villarreal II and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla Atletico = 0.61 (league 1.31), Villarreal II = 0.77 (league 0.93)

Villarreal II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 25.0% 19.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 35.7%

vtt 11 , vtd1