Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.36) 1.21 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.8% 31.0% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.4%
0 - 0
21.1%
0 - 2
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cacereño 0 21.1% 25.4% 15.3% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4%
1 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCacereñoPonferradina
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack64%27%
Defense18%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cacereño Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins23%21%22%38%43%41%
Draws31%43%37%15%29%22%
Loses46%36%41%46%29%37%
CacereñoDDLWDLDWDLLLLWLLDLDWWDDWLDL
PonferradinaWLLLDLWWDWDDLLDLLLWWWWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Cacereño Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total111526161228
GF avg0.81.11.01.20.91.0
GA total18193714923
GA avg1.41.41.41.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCacereñoPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%74%67%44%
1.530%44%30%30%
2.57%15%7%11%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCacereñoPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets5276915
Failed to score7411369

Penalties

MetricCacereñoPonferradina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCacereñoPonferradina
Wins24
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-11-32-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricCacereñoPonferradina
Form33%67%
Att70%30%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total31.8%68.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.56 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Superbet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Cacereño
vs
Ponferradina
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 • Spain • Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Principe Felipe
Expected goals
0.35
Cacereño xG League Avg: 1.36
Total
1.56
1.21
Ponferradina xG League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
10.8%
Draw
31.0%
Away
58.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
25.4%
Tip
0 - 0
21.1%
Tip
0 - 2
15.3%
More chances
1.5+
57%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
52%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
#Cacereño #Ponferradina #PrimeraDivisiónRfefGroup1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Cacereño = 0.35 (league 1.36), Ponferradina = 1.21 (league 1.05)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cacereño 0 21.1% 25.4% 15.3% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4%
1 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.8% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 58.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1