Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.37)
0.51 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 25.9% | 12.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
15.0%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ourense CF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Madrid II | 0 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 63% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 6% | 28% |
| Draws | 19% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
| Loses | 19% | 50% | 34% | 25% | 56% | 41% |
Real Madrid IIWLLLLWWWWWLWLWDWLWLDLDDWDLDWDLWW
Ourense CFDDLLLDDLDWDWWWLDLWLWLLLWLWLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 24 | 51 | 27 | 9 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 27 | 41 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 63% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 16% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Madrid II | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 74% | 26% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 67.6% | 32.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.92 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away4.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ 10Bet
No1.73 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Real Madrid II
vs
Ourense CF
Expected goals
1.49
Real Madrid II xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
2.01
0.51
Ourense CF xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.1%
Draw
25.9%
Away
12.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
20.1%
Tip
2 - 0
15.0%
Tip
0 - 0
13.4%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid II = 1.49 (league 1.37), Ourense CF = 0.51 (league 1.05)
| Ourense CF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Madrid II | 0 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 12.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1