Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 15:00 •
Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.44)
1.54 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.3% | 24.7% | 41.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Ávila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Numancia | 0 | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 27% | 60% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 20% | 37% | 40% | 47% | 43% |
| Draws | 13% | 53% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 27% | 30% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
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Real ÁvilaWWWWDDLWLDWDLDWLDDLWLLLWWDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Numancia | Real Ávila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 70% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 23% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 7% | 17% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 7-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Numancia | Real Ávila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.07 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Numancia
vs
Real Ávila
Expected goals
1.36
Numancia xG
League Avg: 1.44
Total
2.90
1.54
Real Ávila xG
League Avg: 1.07
1x2 probabilities
Home
33.3%
Draw
24.7%
Away
41.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
Tip
1 - 2
8.9%
Tip
0 - 1
8.5%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 1.36 (league 1.44), Real Ávila = 1.54 (league 1.07)
| Real Ávila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Numancia | 0 | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 41.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1