Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.25) 1.45 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 19.7% 23.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Jaén 0 2.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 9.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal JaénEstepona
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%78%
Defense44%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Jaén Estepona
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins56%18%35%9%33%20%
Draws11%55%35%27%0%15%
Loses33%27%30%64%67%65%
Real JaénDLWWWDDWDLLWLLLDWDWD
EsteponaDLLWLWLLLLLLLLLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Real Jaén Estepona
HATHAT
GF total14102491019
GF avg1.60.91.20.81.11.0
GA total111324171633
GA avg1.21.21.21.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal JaénEstepona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%90%60%80%
1.535%25%20%55%
2.515%5%15%20%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal JaénEstepona
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score347448

Penalties

MetricReal JaénEstepona
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricReal JaénEstepona
Wins31
Draws21
Losses39

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-35-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricReal JaénEstepona
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total62.0%38.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.63 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Real Jaén
vs
Estepona
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 • Spain • Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 17:00 • Nuevo Estadio La Victoria
Expected goals
2.31
Real Jaén xG League Avg: 1.25
Total
3.76
1.45
Estepona xG League Avg: 0.91
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.8%
Draw
19.7%
Away
23.1%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.0%
Tip
1 - 1
7.8%
Tip
3 - 1
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
Exp.
#RealJaén #Estepona #SegundaDivisiónRfefGroup4 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Real Jaén = 2.31 (league 1.25), Estepona = 1.45 (league 0.91)

Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Jaén 0 2.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 9.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 23.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1