Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio de La Condomina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.22) 0.43 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 20.7% 8.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ucam Murcia 0 10.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.4% 8.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.6% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUcam MurciaMelilla
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack63%50%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ucam Murcia Melilla
HATHAT
Played121224121123
Wins67%33%50%42%0%22%
Draws25%17%21%50%36%43%
Loses8%50%29%8%64%35%

Form: Ucam Murcia: LWDDDWWWDLWLWWWLWLWWDLWL • Melilla: WLDLDDWLDLDLDWDDDWLDLWL

League goals

Metric Ucam Murcia Melilla
HATHAT
GF total20143415621
GF avg1.71.21.41.30.50.9
GA total10172781422
GA avg0.81.41.10.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUcam MurciaMelilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%61%65%
1.550%33%26%22%
2.513%0%4%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUcam MurciaMelilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets415628
Failed to score145369

Penalties

MetricUcam MurciaMelilla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUcam MurciaMelilla
Wins31
Draws33
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-0—
Biggest losses1-22-00-13-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricUcam MurciaMelilla
Form64%36%
Att56%44%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ucam Murcia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away5.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ucam Murcia = 1.81 (league 1.22), Melilla = 0.43 (league 0.94)

Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ucam Murcia 0 10.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.4% 8.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.6% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 8.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1