Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — Spain

Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio El Rubial

Match Finished

Águilas

2 - 0

Lorca Deportiva

Expected Goals

1.84 (league 1.30) 0.86 (league 0.90)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
59.5%	22.3%	17.0%

best score tips

1 - 0

12.3%

2 - 0

11.4%

1 - 1

10.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Lorca Deportiva
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Águilas	0	6.7%	5.8%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	12.3%	10.6%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
	2	11.4%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
	3	7.0%	6.0%	2.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Águilas	Lorca Deportiva
Played	5	5
Form	40%	13%
Attack	28%	17%
Defense	78%	61%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%

FT probability

2.5+

45%

FT probability

3.5+

32%

FT probability

BTTS

65%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Águilas			Lorca Deportiva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	16	31	16	15	31
Wins	60%	44%	52%	50%	27%	39%
Draws	20%	25%	23%	25%	27%	26%
Loses	20%	31%	26%	25%	47%	35%

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Lorca DeportivaDLLDLDWWWWWWWLLDWLLDWWDWLWLLDDL

League goals

Metric	Águilas			Lorca Deportiva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	24	16	40	13	17	30
GF avg	1.6	1.0	1.3	0.8	1.1	1.0
GA total	11	12	23	9	22	31
GA avg	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.6	1.5	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Águilas		Lorca Deportiva
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	74%	61%	68%	61%
1.5	35%	10%	23%	26%
2.5	19%	3%	6%	10%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	3%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Águilas			Lorca Deportiva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	6	12	9	3	12
Failed to score	3	5	8	6	4	10

Penalties

Metric	Águilas	Lorca Deportiva
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2

Streaks

Metric	Águilas	Lorca Deportiva
Wins	3	7
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-3	2-0	1-3
Biggest losses	1-2	3-1	0-2	3-0
Goals For	3	3	2	3
Goals Against	2	3	2	4

Model comparison

Metric	Águilas	Lorca Deportiva
Form	75%	25%
Att	63%	38%
Def	64%	36%
Poisson Distribution	66%	34%
H2h	85%	15%
Goals	80%	20%
Total	72.2%	28.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365

Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle

Away7.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Marathonbet

No1.57 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Águilas

Lorca Deportiva

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 • Spain • Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio El Rubial

Expected goals

1.84

Águilas xG League Avg: 1.30

Total

2.70

0.86

Lorca Deportiva xG League Avg: 0.90

1x2 probabilities

Home

59.5%

Draw

22.3%

Away

17.0%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

12.3%

Tip

2 - 0

11.4%

Tip

1 - 1

10.6%

More chances

1.5+

64%

Chance

2.5+

45%

Chance

3.5+

32%

Chance

BTTS

65%

Chance

🟨 Cards

0 - 0

Exp.

#Águilas #LorcaDeportiva #SegundaDivisiónRfefGroup4 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Águilas = 1.84 (league 1.30), Lorca Deportiva = 0.86 (league 0.90)

		Lorca Deportiva
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Águilas	0	6.7%	5.8%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	12.3%	10.6%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
	2	11.4%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
	3	7.0%	6.0%	2.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 17.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Águilas	Lorca Deportiva
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2