Holstebro vs Aalborg Freja

Denmark Series - Group 4 — Denmark

Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:00 • Krøyer Park

Match Finished

Holstebro

4 - 1

Aalborg Freja

Expected Goals

4.54 (league 1.84) 0.47 (league 1.72)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
65.5%	3.0%	1.0%

best score tips

4 - 0

11.8%

5 - 0

10.7%

3 - 0

10.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Aalborg Freja
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Holstebro	0	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	3.0%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	6.9%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	10.4%	4.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	11.8%	5.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	10.7%	5.0%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Holstebro	Aalborg Freja
Played	5	5
Form	67%	27%
Attack	45%	23%
Defense	73%	32%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	15 \| 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

76%

FT probability

3.5+

54%

FT probability

BTTS

81%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Holstebro			Aalborg Freja
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	8	16	7	7	14
Wins	88%	63%	75%	29%	0%	14%
Draws	13%	13%	13%	14%	14%	14%
Loses	0%	25%	13%	57%	86%	71%

HolstebroWLWWWDWWWWWWDWWL

Aalborg FrejaLDLLWLLLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric	Holstebro			Aalborg Freja
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	25	22	47	5	6	11
GF avg	3.1	2.8	2.9	0.7	0.9	0.8
GA total	7	14	21	16	19	35
GA avg	0.9	1.8	1.3	2.3	2.7	2.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Holstebro		Aalborg Freja
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	69%	64%	93%
1.5	75%	31%	14%	64%
2.5	69%	19%	0%	43%
3.5	38%	13%	0%	21%
4.5	6%	0%	0%	21%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Holstebro			Aalborg Freja
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	0	0	3	2	5

Penalties

Metric	Holstebro	Aalborg Freja
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Holstebro	Aalborg Freja
Wins	6	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-6	2-1	—
Biggest losses	—	4-1	0-5	6-2
Goals For	4	6	2	2
Goals Against	2	4	5	6

Model comparison

Metric	Holstebro	Aalborg Freja
Form	71%	29%
Att	67%	33%
Def	71%	29%
Poisson Distribution	91%	9%
H2h	93%	7%
Goals	69%	31%
Total	77.0%	23.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Holstebro vs Aalborg Freja

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Holstebro

Aalborg Freja

Denmark Series - Group 4 • Denmark • Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:00 • Krøyer Park

Expected goals

4.54

Holstebro xG League Avg: 1.84

Total

5.01

0.47

Aalborg Freja xG League Avg: 1.72

1x2 probabilities

Home

65.5%

Draw

3.0%

Away

1.0%

Best score tips

Tip

4 - 0

11.8%

Tip

5 - 0

10.7%

Tip

3 - 0

10.4%

More chances

1.5+

95%

Chance

2.5+

76%

Chance

3.5+

54%

Chance

BTTS

81%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Holstebro #AalborgFreja #DenmarkSeriesGroup4 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Holstebro = 4.54 (league 1.84), Aalborg Freja = 0.47 (league 1.72)

		Aalborg Freja
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Holstebro	0	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	3.0%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	6.9%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	10.4%	4.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	11.8%	5.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	10.7%	5.0%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.5% · Draw 3.0% · Away win 1.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Holstebro	Aalborg Freja
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0