Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Avant Training Centre
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 2.05)
2.68 (league 1.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5% | 17.9% | 52.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Crystal Palace U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Norwich City U18 | 0 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Crystal Palace U18 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 92 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Norwich City U18 +10.7, Crystal Palace U18 +11.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Norwich City U18
vs
Crystal Palace U18
Elo gapCrystal Palace U18 +92
Home / draw / away30% / 19% / 51%
Expected home share37%
Combined Elo2970.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2970.6
Elo home share
37%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1421.7 | 1548.9 |
| Form Elo | 1431.7 | 1562.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1451.4 | 1502.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1514.8 | 1650.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1288.3 | 1484.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +10.7 | +11.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Norwich City U18 last-5 Elo change: +10.7; Crystal Palace U18 last-5 Elo change: +11.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 17% | 25% | 21% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 10% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 42% | 46% | 17% | 50% | 32% |
Norwich City U18LLLDLWDLDDLLLLLWDDWWDLDW
Crystal Palace U18WLWWWLWLWLWWLWDLWWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 21 | 42 | 38 | 23 | 61 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 28 | 26 | 54 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 96% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 67% | 68% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 33% | 50% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 17% | 36% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 8-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 3-6 | 5-2 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Norwich City U18 | Crystal Palace U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Norwich City U18
vs
Crystal Palace U18
Expected goals
1.76
Norwich City U18 xG
League Avg: 2.05
Total
4.44
2.68
Crystal Palace U18 xG
League Avg: 1.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
23.5%
Draw
17.9%
Away
52.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
7.5%
Tip
1 - 3
6.7%
Tip
2 - 2
6.6%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
60%
Chance
BTTS
85%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Norwich City U18 = 1.73 (league 2.08), Crystal Palace U18 = 2.69 (league 1.97)
| Crystal Palace U18 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Norwich City U18 | 0 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 52.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1