Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:00 • Sportpark Molenbroek
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
3.07 (league 1.76) 0.78 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.4% 11.2% 6.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.3%
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
ASWH
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gemert 0 2.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.9% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGemertASWH
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack87%53%
Defense47%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gemert ASWH
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins44%64%55%30%20%25%
Draws44%18%30%30%10%20%
Loses11%18%15%40%70%55%
GemertLLDDWDWWDWWWWDWWDLWW
ASWHDWLDLLDLWLLLWLLWDWLL

League goals

Metric Gemert ASWH
HATHAT
GF total162339151328
GF avg1.82.12.01.51.31.4
GA total81523203050
GA avg0.91.41.22.03.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGemertASWH
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%65%75%80%
1.560%30%35%65%
2.540%15%15%50%
3.510%5%15%30%
4.50%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGemertASWH
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricGemertASWH
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGemertASWH
Wins41
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-11-4
Biggest losses0-14-01-57-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against3457

Model comparison

MetricGemertASWH
Form59%41%
Att62%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h67%33%
Goals56%44%
Total62.8%37.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.32 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Superbet
No2.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Gemert
vs
ASWH
Derde Divisie - Sunday • Netherlands • Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:00 • Sportpark Molenbroek
Expected goals
3.07
Gemert xG League Avg: 1.76
Total
3.85
0.78
ASWH xG League Avg: 1.51
1x2 probabilities
Home
73.4%
Draw
11.2%
Away
6.2%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
10.3%
Tip
2 - 0
10.1%
Tip
3 - 1
8.0%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
71%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Gemert #Aswh #DerdeDivisieSunday #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Gemert = 3.07 (league 1.76), ASWH = 0.78 (league 1.51)

ASWH
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gemert 0 2.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.9% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 6.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1