Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 •
Sportpark Molenbroek
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.76)
1.60 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.7% | 23.7% | 39.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Lisse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gemert | 0 | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 68% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 45% | 62% | 54% | 62% | 58% | 60% |
| Draws | 36% | 23% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
| Loses | 18% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
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FC LisseWDWLLWDLDWWLWWDLWDWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 29 | 50 | 26 | 26 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 18 | 30 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gemert | FC Lisse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 67% | 92% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 21% | 24% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gemert | FC Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.73 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.48 @ Marathonbet
No2.41 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Gemert
vs
FC Lisse
Expected goals
1.51
Gemert xG
League Avg: 1.76
Total
3.12
1.60
FC Lisse xG
League Avg: 1.51
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.7%
Draw
23.7%
Away
39.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
1 - 2
8.6%
Tip
2 - 1
8.1%
More chances
1.5+
94%
Chance
2.5+
66%
Chance
3.5+
47%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Gemert = 1.51 (league 1.76), FC Lisse = 1.60 (league 1.51)
| FC Lisse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gemert | 0 | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 39.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1