Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 12:00 •
Sportpark Molenbroek
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.76)
1.02 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 19.8% | 16.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.7%
1 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Meerssen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gemert | 0 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 35% | 30% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 60% | 52% | 7% | 29% | 17% |
| Draws | 43% | 20% | 31% | 33% | 14% | 24% |
| Loses | 14% | 20% | 17% | 60% | 57% | 59% |
GemertLLDDWDWWDWWWWDWWDLWWWDLWDLWDW
MeerssenLLWDLLLLLLLLLDLLDWLWWLDLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 31 | 57 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gemert | Meerssen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 72% | 69% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 31% | 41% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 17% | 14% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gemert | Meerssen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw4.30 @ Dafabet
Away5.00 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gemert = 2.16 (league 1.76), Meerssen = 1.02 (league 1.51)
| Meerssen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gemert | 0 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 16.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
