Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 •
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.29)
0.19 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7% | 24.3% | 4.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.7%
2 - 0
20.6%
0 - 0
18.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Triestina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecco | 0 | 18.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 75% |
| Defense | 75% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 70% | 40% | 55% | 40% | 10% | 25% |
| Draws | 10% | 40% | 25% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 70% | 45% |
LeccoWDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWDWD
TriestinaLDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 9 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lecco | Triestina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 55% | 60% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 5% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lecco | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 64.2% | 35.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lecco
vs
Triestina
Expected goals
1.49
Lecco xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
1.68
0.19
Triestina xG
League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.7%
Draw
24.3%
Away
4.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
27.7%
Tip
2 - 0
20.6%
Tip
0 - 0
18.5%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
58%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 1.49 (league 1.29), Triestina = 0.19 (league 1.03)
| Triestina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecco | 0 | 18.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 4.6%
vtt 5 , vtd1